<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8" standalone="no"?>
<!DOCTYPE article SYSTEM "http://www.ocean-sci.net/inc/os/copernicus.dtd">
<article language="en">
	<journal>
		<journal_title>Ocean Science</journal_title>
		<journal_url>www.ocean-sci.net</journal_url>
		<issn>1812-0784</issn>
		<eissn>1812-0792</eissn>
		<volume_number>5</volume_number>
		<issue_number>4</issue_number>
		<publication_year>2009</publication_year>
	</journal>
	<doi>10.5194/os-5-511-2009</doi>
	<article_url>http://www.ocean-sci.net/5/511/2009/</article_url>
	<abstract_html>http://www.ocean-sci.net/5/511/2009/os-5-511-2009.html</abstract_html>
	<fulltext_pdf>http://www.ocean-sci.net/5/511/2009/os-5-511-2009.pdf</fulltext_pdf>
	<start_page>511</start_page>
	<end_page>521</end_page>
	<publication_date>2009-11-03</publication_date>
	<article_title content_type="html">Relating Agulhas leakage to the Agulhas Current retroflection location</article_title>
	<authors>
		<author numeration="1" affiliations="1">
			<name>E. van Sebille</name>
			<email>e.vanSebille@uu.nl</email>
		</author>
		<author numeration="2" affiliations="2">
			<name>C. N. Barron</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="3" affiliations="3">
			<name>A. Biastoch</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="4" affiliations="1,5">
			<name>P. J. van Leeuwen</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="5" affiliations="1,4,6">
			<name>F. C. Vossepoel</name>
		</author>
		<author numeration="6" affiliations="1">
			<name>W. P. M. de Ruijter</name>
		</author>
	</authors>
	<affiliations>
		<affiliation numeration="1" content_type="html">Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Utrecht University, The Netherlands</affiliation>
		<affiliation numeration="2" content_type="html">Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, Mississippi, USA</affiliation>
		<affiliation numeration="3" content_type="html">Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences, Kiel, Germany</affiliation>
		<affiliation numeration="4" content_type="html">SRON Netherlands Institute for Space Research, Utrecht, The Netherlands</affiliation>
		<affiliation numeration="5" content_type="html">now at: Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, UK</affiliation>
		<affiliation numeration="6" content_type="html">now at: Shell International Exploration and Production B.V., Rijswijk, The Netherlands</affiliation>
	</affiliations>
	<abstract content_type="html">The relation between the Agulhas Current retroflection location and the
magnitude of Agulhas leakage, the transport of water from the Indian to the
Atlantic Ocean, is investigated in a high-resolution numerical ocean model.
Sudden eastward retreats of the Agulhas Current retroflection loop are
linearly related to the shedding of Agulhas rings, where larger retreats
generate larger rings. Using numerical Lagrangian floats a 37 year time
series of the magnitude of Agulhas leakage in the model is constructed. The
time series exhibits large amounts of variability, both on weekly and annual
time scales. A linear relation is found between the magnitude of Agulhas
leakage and the location of the Agulhas Current retroflection, both binned to
three month averages. In the relation, a more westward location of the
Agulhas Current retroflection corresponds to an increased transport from the
Indian Ocean to the Atlantic Ocean. When this relation is used in a linear
regression and applied to almost 20 years of altimetry data, it yields a best
estimate of the mean magnitude of Agulhas leakage of 13.2 Sv. The early
retroflection of 2000, when Agulhas leakage was probably halved, can be
identified using the regression.</abstract>
	<references>
		<reference numeration="1" content_type="text"> Biastoch, A., Böning, C W., and Lutjeharms, J. R E.: Agulhas leakage dynamics affects decadal variability in Atlantic overturning circulation, Nature, 456, 489–492, 2008a. </reference>
		<reference numeration="2" content_type="text"> Biastoch, A., Lutjeharms, J. R E., Böning, C W., and Scheinert, M.: Mesoscale perturbations control inter-ocean exchange south of Africa, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L20602, doi:10.1029/2008GL035132, 2008b. </reference>
		<reference numeration="3" content_type="text"> Blanke, B. and Raynaud, S.: Kinematics of the Pacific Equatorial Undercurrent: An Eulerian and Lagrangian approach from GCM results, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 27, 1038–1053, 1997. </reference>
		<reference numeration="4" content_type="text"> Boebel, O., Lutjeharms, J. R E., Schmid, C., Zenk, W., Rossby, T., and Barron, C N.: The Cape Cauldron, a regime of turbulent inter-ocean exchange, Deep Sea Res. II, 50, 57–86, 2003a. </reference>
		<reference numeration="5" content_type="text"> Boebel, O., Rossby, T., Lutjeharms, J. R E., Zenk, W., and Barron, C N.: Path and Variability of the Agulhas Return Current, Deep Sea Res. II, 50, 35–56, 2003b. </reference>
		<reference numeration="6" content_type="text"> Bryden, H L., Beal, L M., and Duncan, L M.: Structure and Transport of the Agulhas Current and Its Temporal Variability, J. Oceanogr., 61, 479–492, 2005. </reference>
		<reference numeration="7" content_type="text"> Byrne, D A., Gordon, A L., and Haxby, W F.: Agulhas Eddies: A synoptic View Using Geosat ERM Data, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 25, 902–917, 1995. </reference>
		<reference numeration="8" content_type="text"> De~Ruijter, W. P M., Biastoch, A., Drijfhout, S S., Lutjeharms, J. R E., Matano, R P., Pichevin, T., Van~Leeuwen, P J., and Weijer, W.: Indian-Atlantic interocean exchange: dynamics, estimation, and impact, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 20885–20910, 1999. </reference>
		<reference numeration="9" content_type="text"> De~Ruijter, W. P M., Van~Aken, H M., Beier, E J., Lutjeharms, J. R E., Matano, R P., and Schouten, M W.: Eddies and dipoles around South Madagascar: formation, pathways and large-scale impact, Deep Sea Res. I, 53, 383–400, 2004. </reference>
		<reference numeration="10" content_type="text"> De~Steur, L., Van~Leeuwen, P J., and Drijfhout, S S.: Tracer leakage from modeled Agulhas rings, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 34, 1387–1399, 2004. </reference>
		<reference numeration="11" content_type="text"> De~Vries, P. and Döös, K.: Calculating Lagrangian Trajectories Using Time-Dependent Velocity Fields, J. Atmos. Ocean. Tech., 18, 1092–1101, 2001. </reference>
		<reference numeration="12" content_type="text"> Debreu, L., Vouland, C., and Blayo, E.: AGRIF: Adaptive grid refinement in Fortran, Comput. Geosci., 34, 8–13, 2008. </reference>
		<reference numeration="13" content_type="text"> Dijkstra, H A. and De~Ruijter, W. P M.: On the physics of the Agulhas current: steady retroflection regimes, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 31, 2971–2985, 2001. </reference>
		<reference numeration="14" content_type="text"> Doglioli, A M., Veneziani, M., Blanke, B., Speich, S., and Griffa, A.: A Lagrangian analysis of the Indian-Atlantic interocean exchange in a regional model, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L14611, doi:10.1029/2006GL026498, 2006. </reference>
		<reference numeration="15" content_type="text"> Donners, J. and Drijfhout, S S.: The Lagrangian view of South Atlantic interocean exchange in a global ocean model compared with inverse model results, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 34, 1019–1035, 2004. </reference>
		<reference numeration="16" content_type="text"> Donners, J., Drijfhout, S S., and Coward, A C.: Impact of cooling on the water mass exchange of Agulhas rings in a high resolution ocean model, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L16312, doi:10.1029/2004GL020644, 2004. </reference>
		<reference numeration="17" content_type="text"> Feron, R. C V., De~Ruijter, W. P M., and Oskam, D.: Ring shedding in the Agulhas Current System, J. Geophys. Res., 97, 9467–9477, 1992. </reference>
		<reference numeration="18" content_type="text"> Flierl, G A.: Particle motions in large-amplitude wave fields, Geophys. Astrophys. Fluid Dynam., 18, 39–74, 1981. </reference>
		<reference numeration="19" content_type="text"> Garzoli, S L. and Goni, G J.: Combining altimeter observations and oceanographic data for ocean circulations and climate studies, chap 5, Elsevier Oceanographic Series, 79–97, 2000. </reference>
		<reference numeration="20" content_type="text"> Garzoli, S L. and Gordon, A L.: Origins and variability of the Benguela Current, J. Geophys. Res., 101, 897–906, 1996. </reference>
		<reference numeration="21" content_type="text"> Gill, A E., Green, J. S A., and Simmons, A J.: Energy partition in the large-scale ocean circulation and the production of mid-ocean eddies, Deep Sea Res., 21, 499–528, 1974. </reference>
		<reference numeration="22" content_type="text"> Goni, G J., Garzoli, S L., Roubicek, A J., Olson, D B., and Brown, O B.: Agulhas ring dynamics from TOPEX/POSEIDON satellite altimeter data, J. Mar. Res., 55, 861–883, 1997. </reference>
		<reference numeration="23" content_type="text"> Gordon, A L.: Interocean Exchange of Thermocline Water, J. Geophys. Res., 91, 5037–5046, 1986. </reference>
		<reference numeration="24" content_type="text"> Gordon, A L., Weiss, R F., Smethie~Jr., W M., and Warner, M J.: Thermocline and intermediate water communication between the South Atlantic and Indian Oceans, J. Geophys. Res., 97, 7223–7240, 1992. </reference>
		<reference numeration="25" content_type="text"> Hermes, J C., Reason, C. J C., and Lutjeharms, J. R E.: Modeling the Variability of the Greater Agulhas Current System, J. Climate, 20, 3131–3146, 2007. </reference>
		<reference numeration="26" content_type="text"> Large, W G. and Yeager, S G.: Diurnal to decadal global forcing for ocean and sea-ice models: the data sets and flux climatologies, NCAR Technical Note NCAR/TN-460+STR, NCAR, 2004. </reference>
		<reference numeration="27" content_type="text"> Lutjeharms, J. R E.: The Agulhas Current, Springer, Berlin, Germany, 329~pp., 2006. </reference>
		<reference numeration="28" content_type="text"> Lutjeharms, J. R E. and Cooper, J.: Interbasin leakage through Agulhas Current filaments, Deep Sea Res. I, 43, 213–238, 1996. </reference>
		<reference numeration="29" content_type="text"> Lutjeharms, J. R E. and Roberts, H R.: The Natal Pulse: An extreme transient on the Agulhas Current, J. Geophys. Res., 93, 631–645, 1988. </reference>
		<reference numeration="30" content_type="text"> Lutjeharms, J. R E. and Van~Ballegooyen, R C.: The Retroflection of the Agulhas Current, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 18, 1570–1583, 1988. </reference>
		<reference numeration="31" content_type="text"> Madec, G.: NEMO ocean engine, Note du pôle de modélisation, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace (IPSL), 2006. </reference>
		<reference numeration="32" content_type="text"> Ou, H W. and De~Ruijter, W. P M.: Separation of an Inertial Boundary Current from a Curved Coastline, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 16, 280–289, 1986. </reference>
		<reference numeration="33" content_type="text"> Peeters, F. J C., Acheson, R., Brummer, G A., De~Ruijter, W. P M., Schneider, R R., Ganssen, G M., Ufkes, E., and Kroon, D.: Vigorous exchange between the Indian and Atlantic oceans at the end of the past five glacial periods, Nature, 430, 661–665, 2004. </reference>
		<reference numeration="34" content_type="text"> Pichevin, T., Herbette, S., and Floc&apos;h, F.: Eddy formation and shedding in a separating boundary current, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 39, 1921–1934, 2009. </reference>
		<reference numeration="35" content_type="text"> Reason, C. J C., Lutjeharms, J. R E., Hermes, J., Biastoch, A., and Roman, R E.: Inter-ocean fluxes south of Africa in an eddy-permitting model, Deep Sea Res. II, 50, 281–298, 2003. </reference>
		<reference numeration="36" content_type="text"> Richardson, P L.: Agulhas leakage into the Atlantic estimated with subsurface floats and surface drifters, Deep Sea Res. I, 54, 1361–1389, 2007. </reference>
		<reference numeration="37" content_type="text"> Rio, M H. and Hernandez, F.: A mean dynamic topography computed over the world ocean from altimetry, in situ measurements, and a geoid model, J. Geophys. Res., 109, C12032, doi:10.1029/2003JC002226, 2004. </reference>
		<reference numeration="38" content_type="text"> Schmitz~Jr, W J.: On the interbasin-scale thermohaline circulation, Rev. Geophys., 33, 151–173, 1995. </reference>
		<reference numeration="39" content_type="text"> Schouten, M W., De~Ruijter, W. P M., Van~Leeuwen, P J., and Lutjeharms, J. R E.: Translation, decay and splitting of Agulhas rings in the southeastern Atlantic Ocean, J. Geophys. Res., 105, 21913–21925, 2000. </reference>
		<reference numeration="40" content_type="text"> Shannon, L V., Agenbag, J J., Walker, N D., and Lutjeharms, J. R E.: A major pertubation in the Agulhas retroflection area in 1986, Deep Sea Res., 37, 493–512, 1990. </reference>
		<reference numeration="41" content_type="text"> Speich, S., Lutjeharms, J. R E., Penven, P., and Blanke, B.: Role of bathymetry in Agulhas Current configuration and behaviour, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L23611, doi:10.1029/200GL014586, 2006. </reference>
		<reference numeration="42" content_type="text"> Swart, S., Speich, S., Ansorge, I J., Goni, G J., Gladyshev, S., and Lutjeharms, J. R E.: Transport and variability of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current south of Africa, J. Geophys. Res., 113, C09014, doi:10.1029/2007JC004223, 2008. </reference>
		<reference numeration="43" content_type="text"> Treguier, A M., Boebel, O., Barnier, C., and Madec, G.: Agulhas eddy fluxes in a 1/6&amp;deg; Atlantic model, Deep Sea Res. II, 50, 251–280, 2003. </reference>
		<reference numeration="44" content_type="text"> Van~Aken, H M., Van~Veldhoven, A K., Veth, C., De~Ruijter, W. P M., Van~Leeuwen, P J., Drijfhout, S S., Whittle, C C., and Rouault, M.: Observations of a young Agulhas ring, Astrid, during MARE in March 2000, Deep Sea Res. II, 50, 167–195, 2003. </reference>
		<reference numeration="45" content_type="text"> Van~Leeuwen, P J., De~Ruijter, W. P M., and Lutjeharms, J. R E.: Natal pulses and the formation of Agulhas rings, J. Geophys. Res., 105, 6425–6436, 2000. </reference>
		<reference numeration="46" content_type="text"> Van~Sebille, E., Biastoch, A., Van~Leeuwen, P J., and De~Ruijter, W. P M.: A weaker Agulhas Current leads to more Agulhas leakage, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L03601, doi:10.1029/2008GL036614, 2009a. </reference>
		<reference numeration="47" content_type="text"> Van~Sebille, E., Van~Leeuwen, P J., Biastoch, A., Barron, C N., and De~Ruijter, W. P M.: Lagrangian validation of numerical drifter trajectories using drifting buoys: Application to the Agulhas region, Ocean Model., 29, 269–276, 2009b. </reference>
		<reference numeration="48" content_type="text"> Van~Sebille, E., Van~Leeuwen, P J., Biastoch, A., and De~Ruijter, W. P M.: On the fast decay of Agulhas rings, J. Geophys. Res., doi:10.1029/2009JC005585, in press, 2009c. </reference>
		<reference numeration="49" content_type="text"> Weijer, W., De~Ruijter, W. P M., Dijkstra, H A., and Van~Leeuwen, P J.: Impact of Interbasin Exchange on the Atlantic Overturning Circulation, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 29, 2266–2284, 1999. </reference>
	</references>
</article>
