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Ocean Science An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 14, issue 5 | Copyright
Ocean Sci., 14, 1321-1327, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-14-1321-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 25 Oct 2018

Research article | 25 Oct 2018

Evaluation of extreme wave probability on the basis of long-term data analysis

Kirill Bulgakov1,2, Vadim Kuzmin2, and Dmitry Shilov2 Kirill Bulgakov et al.
  • 1Shirshov Institute of Oceanography, Russian Academy of Sciences, 36, Nahimovskiy prospekt, Moscow, 117997, Russia
  • 2Russian State Hydrometeorogical University, 98, Maloochtinsky Pr., Saint Petersburg, 195196, Russia

Abstract. A method of calculation of wind wave height probability based on the significant wave height probability is described (Chalikov and Bulgakov, 2017). The method can also be used for estimation of the height of extreme waves of any given cumulative probability. The application of the method on the basis of long-term model data is presented. Examples of averaged annual and seasonal fields of extreme wave heights obtained using the above method are given. Areas where extreme waves can appear are shown.

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A method of calculation of wind wave height probability based on significant wave height probability is described (Chalikov and Bulgakov, 2017). The method can also be used for estimation of height of extreme waves of any given cumulative probability. The application of the method on the basis of long-term model data is presented. Examples of averaged annual and seasonal fields of extreme wave heights obtained using the method above are given. Areas where extreme waves can appear are shown.
A method of calculation of wind wave height probability based on significant wave height...
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