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Ocean Science An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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OS | Articles | Volume 14, issue 4
Ocean Sci., 14, 887–909, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-14-887-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Ocean Sci., 14, 887–909, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-14-887-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 27 Aug 2018

Research article | 27 Aug 2018

What are the prospects for seasonal prediction of the marine environment of the North-west European Shelf?

Jonathan Tinker et al.
Data sets

North West European Shelf Reanalysis NORTHWESTSHELF_REANALYSIS_PHYS_004_009 S. L. Wakelin, J. While, R. King, E. O'Dea, J. Holt, R. Furner, J. Siddorn, M. Martin, and E. Blockley http://marine.copernicus.eu/documents/QUID/CMEMS-NWS-QUID-004-009-011.pdf

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Short summary
We consider the prospects for seasonal forecasts for the North-west European Shelf (NWS) seas. The recent maturation of global seasonal forecast systems and NWS marine reanalyses provide a basis for such forecasts. We assess the potential of three possible approaches: direct use of global forecast fields and empirical and dynamical downscaling. We conclude that there is potential for NWS seasonal forecasts and as an example show a skillful prototype SST forecast for the English Channel.
We consider the prospects for seasonal forecasts for the North-west European Shelf (NWS) seas....
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