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OS | Articles | Volume 14, issue 4
Ocean Sci., 14, 887–909, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-14-887-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Ocean Sci., 14, 887–909, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-14-887-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 27 Aug 2018

Research article | 27 Aug 2018

What are the prospects for seasonal prediction of the marine environment of the North-west European Shelf?

Jonathan Tinker et al.
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Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by Anna Mirena Feist-Polner on behalf of the Authors (03 May 2018)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (19 May 2018) by Mario Hoppema
AR by Anna Mirena Feist-Polner on behalf of the Authors (16 Jul 2018)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (19 Jul 2018) by Mario Hoppema
AR by Anna Mirena Feist-Polner on behalf of the Authors (27 Jul 2018)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (27 Jul 2018) by Mario Hoppema
Publications Copernicus
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Short summary
We consider the prospects for seasonal forecasts for the North-west European Shelf (NWS) seas. The recent maturation of global seasonal forecast systems and NWS marine reanalyses provide a basis for such forecasts. We assess the potential of three possible approaches: direct use of global forecast fields and empirical and dynamical downscaling. We conclude that there is potential for NWS seasonal forecasts and as an example show a skillful prototype SST forecast for the English Channel.
We consider the prospects for seasonal forecasts for the North-west European Shelf (NWS) seas....
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