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OS | Articles | Volume 15, issue 3
Ocean Sci., 15, 651–668, 2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Ocean Sci., 15, 651–668, 2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 05 Jun 2019

Research article | 05 Jun 2019

The long-term variability of extreme sea levels in the German Bight

Andreas Lang and Uwe Mikolajewicz
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Publication in CP not foreseen
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Related subject area  
Approach: Numerical Models | Phenomena: Sea Level | Depth Range: Surface | Geographical Range: Shelf Seas
An ensemble study of extreme storm surge related water levels in the North Sea in a changing climate
A. Sterl, H. van den Brink, H. de Vries, R. Haarsma, and E. van Meijgaard
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Cited articles  
Araújo, I. B. and Pugh, D. T.: Sea levels at Newlyn 1915–2005: analysis of trends for future flooding risks, J. Coast. Res., 24, 203–212, 2008. a
Arns, A., Wahl, T., Haigh, I., Jensen, J., and Pattiaratchi, C.: Estimating extreme water level probabilities: A comparison of the direct methods and recommendations for best practise, Coast. Engin., 81, 51–66, 2013. a
Barriopedro, D., García-Herrera, R., Lionello, P., and Pino, C.: A discussion of the links between solar variability and high-storm-surge events in Venice, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 115, D13101,, 2010. a, b
Calafat, F., Chambers, D., and Tsimplis, M.: Mechanisms of decadal sea level variability in the eastern North Atlantic and the Mediterranean Sea, J. Geophys. Res.-Ocean., 117, C09022,, 2012. a, b
Chafik, L., Nilsen, J. E. Ø., and Dangendorf, S.: Impact of North Atlantic teleconnection patterns on Northern European sea level, J. Mar. Sci. Eng., 5, 43, 32 pp., 2017. a, b, c
Publications Copernicus
Short summary
Here we investigate the occurrence of extreme storm surges in the southern German Bight and their associated large-scale forcing mechanisms using climate model simulations covering the last 1000 years. We find that extreme storm surges are characterized by a large internal variability that masks potential links to external climate forcing or background sea level fluctuations; existing estimates of extreme sea levels based on short data records thus fail to account for their full variability.
Here we investigate the occurrence of extreme storm surges in the southern German Bight and...