Articles | Volume 15, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-15-809-2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-15-809-2019
Research article
 | 
21 Jun 2019
Research article |  | 21 Jun 2019

Surface predictor of overturning circulation and heat content change in the subpolar North Atlantic

Damien G. Desbruyères, Herlé Mercier, Guillaume Maze, and Nathalie Daniault

Data sets

CORA, Coriolis Ocean Dataset for Reanalysis T. Szekely, J. Gourrion, S. Pouliquen, and R. Gilles https://doi.org/10.17882/46219

Reconstructions of the radiation fluxes at top of atmosphere and net surface energy flux in the period 1985-2015 from DEEP-C project C. Liu and R. Allan https://doi.org/10.17864/1947.111

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Short summary
In the North Atlantic, ocean currents transport warm waters northward in the upper water column, and cold waters southwards at depth. This circulation is here reconstructed from surface data and thermodynamics theory. Its driving role in recent temperature changes (1993–2017) in the North Atlantic is evidenced, and predictions of near-future variability (5 years) are provided and discussed.